In his comparison of the agreement concluded in the Belarus capital by the leaders of Russia, France, Ukraine and Germany on February 12th with the one reached on 5 September 2014, Michael Emerson asks what will be different this time? He observes first that there are additional provisions which may be significant and secondly, the strategic political and economic context is categorically different.
Michael Emerson is an Associate Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Policy Studies. This Commentary was (first) published by OpenSecurity on 13 February 2015.